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Jon Jones stands at a unique crossroads in his UFC journey—a man whose leverage may never be higher, but he may have blown it.

UFC veteran Matt Brown laid it out with the blunt clarity that only someone who’s walked the walk can deliver. According to Brown, fighters rarely hold much sway in the boardrooms where Dana White and Hunter Campbell call the shots. But Jones isn’t just any fighter. He’s “the” fighter. With all eyes on a potential clash with Tom Aspinall, the biggest heavyweight fight on the market, Jones controls more of the narrative than most. He has that rarest of weapons in MMA: time-sensitive leverage.

Still, Brown offers a word of warning. The UFC, ever the promotional machine, is no stranger to moving on. If Jones overplays his hand, the gears will keep turning—with or without him.

“They want the biggest fight in heavyweight history and they know that’s what Tom and Jon would provide at this point. At the same time, they know if Jon just says ‘f*ck you’ and walks away, they’ll build up somebody. They’ll make Ciryl Gane look like the f*cking boogeyman of the east or some shit. We’ve seen this story before. It goes on. It goes forward. The heavyweight division just happens to be slimmer pickings,” Brown said.

However, after Tom Aspinall sarcastically said Jones has retired and he’s now the undisputed champion, Jon Jones’ snarky social media posts don’t hit the same.

This is where Jones may have overplayed his hand.

Fans are annoyed, Aspinall is annoyed, the UFC seems annoyed, and then there’s Jon fooling around watching Jake Shields get beat up in Thailand.

There’s been a total vibe shift, and it’s not in Jones’ favor.

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